Connect with us

Fall 2021 Elections

Political Watch Fall Election Edition #1



Welcome to Political Watch Edition for the 1st week of the Campaign.

In this first week some things have changed;

Lee Li and running mate Martin Flores have dropped out of the Governor’s Race, we asked their campaign for a comment however we are yet to receive a reply.

The Governor’s debate was cancelled on short notice due to some unforeseen circumstances. 

The State Representative Debate went ahead as planned and was attended by about 50 people. All the representatives were given a chance to answer questions, however no debating period was allotted after the questions so this event was more of a platform Q&A, they were also asked about 

We spoke with Governor Candidates Paxton and Ford; here is what they had to say

Round 1 Polling

Weazel News over the past week has conducted some polling, The results are the following.

For the Governor Polling we found that 39.2% would prefer Stiletto as Governor, while 60.8% would prefer Paxton as Governor. We adjusted the results after Lee Li retired from the race and used their second preferences as their first preference. Most Lee Li voters put Stiletto as their second preference making the margin between Stiletto and Paxton smaller. 

For the Legislature, if voters had to pick only one candidate, this is how they would vote;

Becks Lawson 21.6%

Endeavour Jackson 21.6%

Mohn Nash 15.7%

James Nark 11.8%

William Benning 11.8%

Nikolai Stanislav 9.8%

Caster Taylor 7.8%

This voting method is one person preferred, in the actual election they are using a weighted method of preferencing so the results are purely a popularity test.

We asked the same number of voters to preference all seven candidates from Most preferred to least preferred, just like the actual election, the results were input into a weighted controlled computer model and the results are the following based on weighted distribution because of the small sample size.

Candidates: 7 with 5 Seats | 51 votes recorded requiring a Quota of 8.5 to win a seat

Endeavour Jackson11.
Becks Lawson11.0011.680.
Mohn Nash8.
James Nark6.007.148.418.500.000.00
William Benning6.
Nikolai Stanislav5.005.235.775.775.777.18
Caster Taylor4.004.004.464.884.880.00

Round two of the polls is now open, even if you have filled it out before you can do it again for this second round. The Poll can be found here 

Polls Analysis 

With only two candidates in the Governor Election there really isn’t much analysis needed, The Stiletto campaign has really picked up their advertising schedule recently with more advertisements and posters being seen across the state, any form of advertisement is obviously beneficial. Paxton’s campaign has been more based around events and already established work that has been conducted since he was elected to the Legislature. Overall, we expect this race to be down close to the line, as voters’ political views are going to be the defining factor of who gets what vote. 

The State Representative Election has more candidates allowing more analysis. 

We found in the polling that if you preferred Endeavor Jackson as your 1st candidate, voters were more likely to pick James Nark and Becks Lawson then other candidates.

If voters preferred Becks Lawson as your 1st candidate, you were more likely to vote for Endeavor Jackson and Nikolai Stanislav as your second or third preference.

If voters preferred Mohn Nash as their first candidate they were more likely to vote Endeavour Jackson and Caster Taylor as their second or third candidate.

William Benning, Nikolai Stanislav and Caster Taylor voters all preferred Mohn Nash and Endeavour Jackson or Mohn Nash as their second candidate.

Compared Polling Results

  • Putting both the Governor and State Rep Results together shows a unique set of information.
  • People who preferred Stiletto as Governor never put Endeavour Jackson or James Nark as their first Representative Preference. However 27% of second preferences were cast towards Endeavour Jackson.
  • Paxton voters were more likely to put Endeavour Jackson as their first preference preference 
  • Most voters who preferred William Benning, voted for Stiletto in this first round. 
  • An equal number of Paxton and Stiletto voters, preferred Mohn Nash as their first candidate

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Latest News

Political21 mins ago

Candidates Celebrate Victory On Election Night

Los Santos, San Andreas – This week, the state of San Andreas came together to celebrate the culmination of two...

Events3 days ago

VIDEO: Commissioner Solace & Sheriff Wheatkings Sworn Into Office

Los Santos, San Andreas – Friday night, Governor Paxton hosted a swearing in ceremony at Mission Row Police Department to...

Local Heroes3 days ago

Davis Firehouse Dog Community Col-lab-oration

South Los Santos: Exciting news Los Santos citizens. The Davis Firehouse (Station 23) is getting a fire dog! Assistant Chief...

Events4 days ago

Election Results Party Monday Night!

Los Santos, San Andreas – Tomorrow night, Monday, January 17th, the San Andreas Voters Association will be hosting a community...

Political5 days ago

Becks Lawson: Experienced Candidate Stumbles?

Los Santos, San Andreas – As the only incumbent candidate able to attend Sunday night’s State Representative Debate, Becks Lawson...

Political5 days ago

Debate Analysis: Josh Zimmerman

Los Santos, San Andreas – With each candidate at Sunday’s State Representative Debate being asked two direct questions, it falls...

Political5 days ago

Governor Candidates Discuss Cabinet Selection

Los Santos, San Andreas – As Sunday’s debate swung further into more specific topics on the Governorship, our candidates were...

Political5 days ago

Governor Candidates on State’s Biggest Problem

Los Santos, San Andreas – At Sunday’s public debate, the three campaigns of Governor and Lt. Governor candidates took the...

Winter 2022 Elections6 days ago

Puppeteer Vlad Tod: Conspiracy or Conspiracy Theory?

This evening at the Weazel News studios, an anonymous person dropped by the following flyer, proclaiming Vlad Tod to be...

Political6 days ago

Kaori Prince Fights For Economic Enrichment

Los Santos, San Andreas – The well-run public debate between State Representatives last weekend featured an in-depth look at each...